Macro. Market. Movers.

Read the hottest topics of the day from the LPL Research thought leaders. From stocks and bonds to the latest data from the government and everything in between, you’ll find the team’s expansive range of investing and economic expertise—served up in granular detail.

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Weekly Market Performance — February 23, 2024

| David Matzko

LPL's Weekly Market Performance for the week of February 19, 2024, highlights NVIDIA's strong earnings, a record high on the Nikkei, and a natural gas rally.

Is the Equal Weight S&P 500 About to Get Even?

| Adam Turnquist

LPL Research highlights the Equal Weight S&P 500 and how the technical setup suggests it could be ready to get even with its market-cap-weighted counterpart.

Keep Your Eye on Internationals

| Dr. Jeffrey Roach

LPL Research looks at the improving international inflation trajectory relative to the U.S.

Tactical Asset Allocation — Long Live the 60/40

| George Smith

LPL Research delves into positioning of its 60/40 MWP Tactical ETP model portfolio.

Weekly Market Performance — February 16, 2024

| David Matzko

LPL's Weekly Market Performance for the week of February 12, 2024, highlights last month's inflation, rate cuts, and Treasury yields.

Interest Rates and Potential Impact on Equities

| Adam Turnquist

LPL Research highlights the technical setup for 10-year yields and what higher or lower rates could mean for equity markets.

Diverging Inflation Experience Between U.S. vs. EU

| Dr. Jeffrey Roach

LPL Research discusses the latest CPI report and its implications for investors, including the relative attractiveness of U.S. and international equities.

January 2024 Fund Flows Recap

| George Smith

LPL Research explores January 2024 fund flows data and investor sentiment across asset classes.

Weekly Market Performance — February 9, 2024

| David Matzko

LPL's Weekly Market Performance for the week of February 5, 2024, highlights equity gains, rising Treasury yields, and the S&P 500 reaching a market milestone.

Three Charts — Could China be Close to a Bottom?

| Adam Turnquist

LPL Research digs into the technical setup for Chinese equity markets and highlights three charts showing why a bottom could be near.

How Could the Markets Surprise Us in 2024?

| Kristian Kerr

LPL Research looks at five ways the markets might surprise us in 2024.

Weekly Market Performance — February 2, 2024

| David Matzko

LPL's Weekly Market Performance for the week of January 29, 2024, highlights continued equity gains, lower gas prices, and commercial real estate loan losses.

As Goes January, So Goes the Year

| Adam Turnquist

LPL Research explores how a positive January has historically been a good sign for stocks.

How Much More Can Consumers Spend?

| Dr. Jeffrey Roach

LPL Research studies the latest spending and jobs data and what it means for Federal Reserve monetary policy.

How Markets Regard Democratic Incumbents

| Jeff Buchbinder

LPL Research examines presidential cycles and how the market regards a Democratic president during a re-election year.

Weekly Market Performance — January 26, 2024

| David Matzko

LPL's Weekly Market Performance for the week of January 22, 2024, highlights continued AI optimism, improving inflation expectations, and higher energy prices.

Semiconductors Lead Stocks Higher

| Adam Turnquist

LPL Research explores the technical setup for the semiconductor industry and what a new growth cycle could imply for future returns.

What to Expect Out of the Fed

| Dr. Jeffrey Roach

LPL Research looks at the implications from declining inflation expectations, growing construction activity, and the risk of weakening job growth.

The S&P 500 Ventures into Unchartered Territory

| Jeff Buchbinder

The S&P 500 has posted a new all-time high. LPL Research explores implications of the 512-day drought.

Years When Stocks Tracked 2023 Best and What Came Next

| Dr. Jeffrey Roach

LPL Research explores years that closely correlate to 2023 and their potential history lesson for the year ahead.

Weekly Market Performance — January 19, 2024

| David Matzko

LPL's Weekly Market Performance for the week of January 15, 2024, highlights technology outperforming, sluggish commodities, and an uptick in housing starts.

Investor Confidence Wavers After Volatile Start to Year

| George Smith

LPL Research explores the latest investor sentiment survey data and what this could mean for stock market returns going forwards.

Online Sales Skyrocket As Consumers Keep Spending

| Dr. Jeffrey Roach

LPL Research looks at the latest retail sales numbers and what it might mean for the upcoming personal income and spending release and future Fed policy.

Technology Sector Enjoys Strong Earnings Momentum

| Jeff Buchbinder

LPL Research examines estimate revisions for the technology sector and highlights the strong earnings growth potential for the so-called “Magnificent Seven”.

December and 2023 Fund Flows Recap

| George Smith

LPL Research explores December and 2023 fund flows data across major asset classes.

Weekly Market Performance — January 12, 2024

| David Matzko

LPL's Weekly Market Performance for the week of January 8, 2024, highlights the start of Q4 earnings season, December CPI, and European retail sales.

Record-High Watch for S&P 500 Remains in Effect

| Adam Turnquist

LPL Research highlights how long it has been since the S&P 500 reached record-high territory and what a close above 4,797 could mean for returns this year.

What Could Be in Store for Muni Investors in 2024?

| Lawrence Gillum

LPL Research looks at valuations for the municipal market and what could be in store for municipal investors in 2024.

Markets Focus on a Confusing Job Market

| Dr. Jeffrey Roach

LPL Research explores what the recent jobs report means for the Federal Reserve and markets.

The Laggards of 2022 Became Leaders in 2023

| Adam Turnquist

LPL Research explores the best and worst-performing S&P 500 sectors of 2023 and the likelihood for a convergence in performance this year.

Weekly Market Performance — January 5, 2024

| David Matzko

LPL's Weekly Market Performance for the week of January 1, 2024, highlights the end of the market's nine-week winning streak, the FOMC minutes, and ISM data.

The Santa Claus Rally Ends on the Naughty List

| Adam Turnquist

LPL Research examines potential implications of the stock market decline during the Santa Claus Rally period.

What Will Stocks Do for an Encore in 2024?

| Jeff Buchbinder

LPL Research explores how the market has historically performed following outsized annual gains.

Weekly Market Performance — December 29, 2023

| David Matzko

LPL's Weekly Market Performance for the week of Dec. 25, 2023, recaps a higher week for markets, a decline in natural gas prices, and a jump in home prices.

January Seasonality: Have Returns Pulled Forward?

| George Smith

LPL Research assesses stock market seasonals and what they could infer for stock market returns going forward.

Top-Heavy Doesn't Mean Market Top

| Adam Turnquist

LPL Research explores leadership concentration within the S&P 500 and how other top-heavy years have not historically been a precursor to a market top.

Investors Approaching Extreme Bullishness

| George Smith

LPL Research explores the latest investor sentiment survey data and what this could mean for stock market returns going forward.

Weekly Market Performance — December 22, 2023

| David Matzko

LPL Research's Weekly Market Performance for the week of Dec. 18, 2023, highlights outflows of U.S. equities, December consumer confidence, and housing starts.

Will Santa Claus or the Grinch Show Up This Year?

| Adam Turnquist

LPL Research explores the Santa Claus Rally seasonal period and how it correlates with future equity market performance.

How Equity Factors Fared in 2023

| Jeff Buchbinder

LPL Research examines equity style factors that drove and lagged the market during a chaotic 2023.

Is This Time Truly Different?

| Dr. Jeffrey Roach

LPL Research looks at various charts unique to the current economic environment and what it means for the coming year.

The More Things Changed, the More They Stayed the Same

| Lawrence Gillum

LPL Financial Research looks at the current set-up for fixed income, which isn’t very different from what it was to start the year.

Dow Rallies to Record Highs

| Adam Turnquist

LPL Research explores the recent rally on the Dow Jones Industrial Average and how the index has historically performed after registering record highs.

Weekly Market Performance — December 15, 2023

| David Matzko

LPL Research's Weekly Market Performance for the week of Dec. 11, 2023, recaps another strong week for equities, a rebound in oil, and the FOMC meeting.

November Fund Flows — Shift To Passive Continues

| George Smith

LPL Research explores November fund flows data and investor sentiment across asset classes.

Preparing for the Federal Reserve Pivot

| Dr. Jeffrey Roach

LPL Financial Research previews the Federal Reserve’s December policy meeting and discusses potential investment implications.

Outlook 2024: A Turning Point

In today’s article, LPL Research gives an overview of Outlook 2024. Their comprehensive report includes go-forward insights on markets and the economy.

Be Careful What (Fed Rate Cuts) You Wish For

| Jeff Buchbinder

LPL Research explores the relationship between stocks and the period between the Federal Reserve’s final rate hike and its first cut.

Weekly Market Performance–December 4, 2023

| David Matzko

LPL Research recaps the week of Dec. 4, 2023, in equities, fixed income, commodities, economic data, and previews the economic calendar for the week ahead.

Overbought Conditions Meet Overhead Resistance

| Adam Turnquist

LPL Research explores the degree of overbought conditions in the market and potential implications for future equity market returns.

Presidential Cycle Still Supportive of Stocks

| Jeff Buchbinder

LPL Research discusses historical stock market performance in election years and what to expect in 2024.

Is There Any Income Left in Fixed Income?

| Lawrence Gillum

LPL Financial Research examines the still-favorable risk and return setup for fixed income after six straight months of negative returns.

Is the Santa Claus Rally Still Coming to Town?

| George Smith

LPL Research assesses stock market seasonals and what they could infer for stock market returns going forward.

Weekly Market Performance–November 27, 2023

| David Matzko

LPL Research's Weekly Market Performance for the week of Nov. 27, 2023, recaps a strong finish for equities, continued bullish sentiment, and revised Q3 GDP.

Consumers Are Getting a Mixed Bag of Economic Data

| Dr. Jeffrey Roach

LPL Research takes a closer look at the mixed bag of spending and housing data and what it means for markets.

Who is Going to Buy Bonds? Pension Funds

| Lawrence Gillum

LPL Financial Research examines positive supply and demand technical analysis for the investment-grade corporate universe.